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TECHNICAL PAPERS

On Statistical Model Validation

[+] Author and Article Information
L. H. Lee, K. Poolla

Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720

J. Dyn. Sys., Meas., Control 118(2), 226-236 (Jun 01, 1996) (11 pages) doi:10.1115/1.2802308 History: Received September 29, 1994; Online December 03, 2007

Abstract

In this paper we formulate a particular statistical model validation problem in which we wish to determine the probability that a certain hypothesized parametric uncertainty model is consistent with a given input-output data record. Using a Bayesian approach and ideas from the field of hypothesis testing, we show that in many cases of interest this problem reduces to computing relative weighted volumes of convex sets in RN (where N is the number of uncertain parameters). We also present and discuss a randomized algorithm based on gas kinetics, as well as the existing Hit-and-Run family of algorithms, for probable approximate computation of these volumes.

Copyright © 1996 by The American Society of Mechanical Engineers
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